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The earnings season is winding down, but there are some names slated to report that could see big moves — in either direction. Already, more than 80% of companies in the S & P 500 have already posted quarterly results this earnings season as of Monday morning. Against that backdrop, CNBC Pro screened for names reporting this week — with market caps of $1 billion or more — that could experience sharp up- or downside moves, based on trading activity in the options market. Here are the names that made the list: Upstart Holdings is the reporter this week that could be in for the biggest move at nearly 19%. Rideshare stock Lyft also made the list.
Persons: Uber, America's Mihir Bhatia, Bhatia, Lyft, LSEG, Jefferies, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, Bank of America's Jessica Reif Ehrlich, Ehrlich, WBD Organizations: Disney, CNBC Pro, Holdings, LSEG, Bank, America's, Warner Bros, Bank of America's Locations: California
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailZillow could be a rate-proof play, says Jeffries' John ColantuoniJohn Colantuoni, senior internet analyst at Jeffries, joins CNBC's 'The Exchange' to share why Zillow is his top pick.
Persons: Jeffries, John Colantuoni John Colantuoni
Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Nvidia, calling for more than 15% upside going forward. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:53 a.m.: Jefferies lowers Tesla price target, cites 'self-inflicted' wounds Tesla's troubles may not be over yet, according to Jefferies. The investment firm kept its hold rating on the electric vehicle maker and lowered its price target to $165 from $185. Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois also said Tesla is plagued by shifting product priorities. — Lisa Kailai Han 5:53 a.m.: Morgan Stanley raises Nvidia price target Nvidia has already rallied more than 72% in 2024.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, Patrick Cunningham, Erik Fyrwald's, Cunningham, — Lisa Kailai Han, Zillow, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, Scott Schoenhaus, Schoenhaus, Lisa Kailai Han, Hess, Betty Jiang, CVX, Jiang, Tesla, Philippe Houchois, Joseph Moore, Moore, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Nvidia, Citi, Management, & Biosciences, Jefferies, National Association of Realtors, Markets, GDRX, Barclays, Chevron, NVIDIA, AMD Locations: Tuesday's, China
First-quarter reporting season is kicking off later this week, and investors should also be attuned to companies boosting their forecasts as they report, Jefferies found. "As a result, we believe there could be outsized opportunity with respect to stocks poised for shifts to full-year outlooks and subsequent estimate upgrades & downgrades." Jefferies shared 23 companies that have a history of larger-than-typical bumps or higher-than-normal conviction that should see upward estimate revisions once they report their results. Jefferies also listed GE Aerospace as a company with upward revision potential. "High incremental margins from a largely fixed cost base should result in even more impressive long-term EBITDA upside."
Persons: Jefferies, bode, CYBR, Joseph Gallo, Sheila Kahyaoglu, John Colantuoni Organizations: GE Aerospace, GE, YTD GE, CFM Locations: Zillow
(This is CNBC Pro's live coverage of Tuesday's analyst calls and Wall Street chatter. An online car seller and a crypto trading platform were in focus on Tuesday's analyst chatter. Carvana shares are up more than 47% this year, soaring after the company topped fourth-quarter profit estimates. Until ETP flows taper and/or reverse, we suspect the stock's current momentum may persist," analyst Patrick O'Shaughnessy wrote. COIN YTD mountain COIN year to date Coinbase shares received a boost from the ETF excitement, rising more than 40% year to date, as bitcoin climbs to record highs .
Persons: Coinbase, Raymond James ., Jason Bazinet, Bazinet, — Pia Singh, Jefferies, Carvana, John Colantuoni, Carvana hasn't, Raymond James, Patrick O'Shaughnessy, ETP, O'Shaughnessy, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, underperform, Jefferies, Citi, New York Times, Citi Research, Bazinet , New York Times Locations: Bazinet ,, underperform, Monday's
Bernstein named Taiwan Semiconductor a "best idea" for 2024, raising its price target on the stock. — Alex Harring 7:01 a.m. In addition to the best-pick honor, analyst Steve Scala has an outperform rating and $86 price target. Analyst Michael Lavery downgraded the stock to neutral from overweight and slashed his price target by $40 to $200. ET: Morgan Stanley hikes PDD price target, calls stock a top pick following earnings Morgan Stanley named Chinese e-commerce name PDD Holdings a top pick following its latest quarterly earnings report.
Persons: Bernstein, Morgan Stanley, LSEG, Bank of America's Tal Liani, Morgan Stanley's Hamza Fodderwala, Alex Harring, Craig Siegenthaler, Blackstone, That's, — Alex Harring, Ken Hoexter, Hoexter, TD Cowen, Steve Scala, Scala, Jefferies, John Colantuoni, bode, Colantuoni, Neil Beveridge, Josh Silverstein, Silverstein, JMP, Baldwin, Mitch Germain, Germain doesn't, Germain, Piper Sandler, Michael Lavery, Lavery, elasticities, HSY's, Hershey, Eddy Wang, Wang, Mark Li, Li, — Fred Imbert Organizations: CNBC, Taiwan Semiconductor, Holdings, Wall, Bank of America, Bank of America's, KKR, Apollo Global Management, Pacific, Transport, AstraZeneca, pharma, Airbnb, Toyota, UBS, Exxon Mobil, Natural Resources, Exxon Mobil's, Hershey, PDD, U.S, LSEG, Commerce, PDD's U.S, Apple, Huawei Locations: Tuesday's, Ivory Coast, Ghana, 4Q23, Taiwan, China
In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailInstacart slashes its previous IPO valuation, and Jefferies upgrades DoorDashJefferies' John Colantuoni and CNBC's Deirdre Bosa join 'The Exchange' to discuss Instacart slashing its IPO valuation, competition in the home grocery delivery space, and the rationale behind Jefferies' DoorDash upgrade.
Persons: DoorDash Jefferies, John Colantuoni, Deirdre Bosa, Jefferies Organizations: Jefferies
Carvana stock may be getting ahead of itself, according to Jefferies. Jefferies also slashed its price target to $30 from $55, implying downside of nearly 32% from Friday's close. CVNA YTD mountain Carvana has surged nearly 830% in 2023. However, analyst John Colantuoni said Wall Street seems to be overestimating how long Carvana can sustain its recent higher profitability metrics, which merely reflect "transitory tailwinds that will abate in the coming quarters." "We also envision an acceleration in Unit growth next year leading to inefficiencies that further negatively impact per unit economics."
Persons: Jefferies, Carvana, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Sunday Locations: Friday's
In a Thursday note, the firm outlined a basket of stocks that may be on the brink of turning a profit. Jefferies has a buy rating on DraftKings stock with a $35 per share price target, or about 39% upside from Thursday's close. Jefferies' buy rating and $250 per share price target equates to roughly 18% upside for the stock from Thursday's close. SoFi stock has climbed more than 78% from the start of the year. SOFI YTD mountain Jefferies' buy rating and $9.60 price target forecasts about 19% upside for SoFi Stock.
Persons: Jefferies, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni Organizations: CNBC, Boeing, Jefferies, SoFi Stock Locations: SoFi, fintech
Amazon has made it official: Prime Day will return on July 11 and 12 this year. Most analysts see room for Amazon stock to run, despite its nearly 50% year-to-date gain. Amazon began the Prime Day event in 2015 as a way to boost its Prime membership, and has held it annually ever since. On Wednesday, Amazon shares were trading down more than 1% after the Federal Trade Commission announced a lawsuit against the company, alleging "deceptive" sales tactics tied to the Prime program. A Prime membership costs about $139 a year and includes perks like free shipping and access to Amazon's streaming service.
Persons: Michael Dick, Amazon, FactSet, John Colantuoni, Colantuoni, Doug Anmuth Organizations: Bank of, Jefferies, Web Services, Walmart, Amazon, Rivals, Target, Federal Trade Commission, FTC Locations: U.S
Jefferies says it's time to "hitch a ride" on Uber shares. "We believe UBER's dominant scale and network effect support greater reinvestment into customer experience/ adoption, which should spur frequency/stickiness and grow market share over time," he continued. This expansion will help boost growth in its Delivery segment, says Jefferies, which has already doubled since pre-pandemic levels. Uber could lose its market share to its direct competitors in the Mobility and Delivery spaces — which could drive down shares. Uber shares were up 0.4% Monday before the bell.
Lyft shares jump as Wall Street welcomes CEO change
  + stars: | 2023-03-28 | by ( Aditya Soni | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +2 min
Lyft said on Monday co-founders Logan Green and John Zimmer would step down as CEO and president, respectively, handing the reins to David Risher who has been a board member since 2021. Risher was among the first employees at Amazon.com Inc(AMZN.O) and served as the e-commerce giant's first head of product. Risher's experience on Lyft's board also gives him a strong command of the business relative to the average incoming CEO, RBC Capital Markets said. Lyft's shares were trading at $10.20 on Tuesday. Rival Uber also had a CEO change in 2017, when it hired then Expedia Inc (EXPE.O) top boss Dara Khosrowshahi.
March 14 (Reuters) - Shares of Uber Technologies (UBER.N) and Lyft Inc (LYFT.O) rose in premarket trading on Tuesday following a California court's ruling on treating drivers as independent contractors rather than employees, removing some future regulatory risks for the rideshare companies. A three-judge panel of the state appeals court on Monday reversed a lower court ruling in 2021 that the ballot measure, known as Proposition 22, was unconstitutional. Jefferies analysts estimate Lyft, DoorDash (DASH.N) and Uber have potentially avoided a hit of between $20 million and $170 million to their 2024 core earnings. Uber has dominated the rideshare and food delivery space thanks to massive scale, flexibility and presence in multiple global markets, crushing rivals Lyft and DoorDash. Shares of Lyft, which on Monday hit a record low, were up 6% in premarket trading.
The analyst noted that Etsy's buyer churn rose throughout 2022, reaching a record in the fourth quarter. Buyer spending also lowered during this time, down 3% year over year in the fourth quarter, according to the note. Etsy shares are down 5% in 2023, after tumbling more than 45% in 2022. The analyst's new $85 price target, slashed from $150, implies Etsy shares can fall about another 25% from Wednesday's close. ETSY 1D mountain Etsy shares 1-day —CNBC's Michael Bloom contributed to this report.
Roughly 50% of S & P 500 companies have posted earnings thus far, and the results have been mixed. Tuesday Chipotle Mexican Grill is set to report earnings after the bell, followed by a conference call at 4:30 p.m. What history shows: Data from Bespoke Investment Group shows Chipotle beats earnings expectations 76% of the time and averages a 1.7% gain on earnings day. What history shows: Bespoke data shows Disney beats earnings per share estimates nearly 80% of the time. What history shows: PayPal earnings have beaten analyst earnings expectations nine of the last 10 quarter, according to FactSet.
The 2022 selloffs underscored the challenges gig economy stocks have faced in recent years as novelty and venture capital funding chilled, analysts have said to clients. Analysts are now contemplating how to position ahead of the major gig companies' earnings reports, which kick off with Uber on Feb. 8. A look at where each company stands: Uber UBER LYFT,DASH 5Y mountain Gig economy stocks One area where analysts at SVB MoffettNathanson, Jefferies and Bernstein all agree: be bullish on Uber. Lyft Analysts at the three firms, however, are leery when it comes to competitor Lyft. DoorDash Analysts were split on DoorDash.
Why Lyft Is Headed for Its Own Recession
  + stars: | 2023-01-28 | by ( Laura Forman | ) www.wsj.com   time to read: 1 min
Lyft asserts that its focus on ride-share will eventually pay off relative to Uber’s more diversified business, which includes food delivery. After losing around three-quarters of its market value last year, Lyft ‘s shares are up almost 47% this month. Lyft, which historically has been dusted by more global competitor Uber Technologies , isn’t suddenly gaining ground. In an initiation report in early January, Jefferies analyst John Colantuoni estimated the ride-hailer ended last year with around 29% U.S. market share to Uber’s 71%. His estimates show Lyft exiting the pandemic in arguably worse shape than it entered it, having lost around 3 percentage points of market share over the last three years.
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